Publications
Caillaud, C., Somot, S., Douville, H., Alias, A., Bastin, S., Brienen, S., Demory, M.-E., Dobler, A., Feldmann, H., Frisius, T., Goergen, K., Kendon, E.J., Keuler, K., Lenderink, G., Mercogliano, P., Pichelli, E., Soares, P.M.M., Tölle, M.H., de Vries, H., 2024: Mediterranean Heavy Precipitation Events in a warmer climate: robust versus uncertain changes with a large convection-permitting model ensemble. Geophysical Research Letters, 51, e2023GL105143, DOI:10.1029/2023GL105143
Chen, T., C. Braun, A. Voigt, and J. G. Pinto, 2024: Changes of Intense Extratropical Cyclone Deepening Mechanisms in a Warmer Climate in Idealized Simulations. J. Climate, 37, 4703–4722, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0605.1
Feser, F., van Garderen, L. & Hansen, F. (2024). The summer heatwave 2022 over Western Europe: An attribution to anthropogenic climate change. Explaining Extreme Events of 2022/2023 from a Climate Perspective, Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 105(11), E2175–E2179, https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-24-0017.1
Fosser, G., Gaetani, M., Kendon, E.J, Adinolfi, M., Ban, N., Belušić, D., Caillaud, C., Careto, J.A.M., Coppola, E., Demory, M.-E., de Vries, H., Dobler, A., Feldmann, H., Goergen,K., Lenderink, G., Pichelli, E., Schär, C., Soares. P.M.M, Somot, S., Tölle, M.H. 2024: Convection-permitting climate models offer more certain extreme rainfall projections. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, doi: 10.1038/s41612-024-00600-w.
Hundhausen, M., Feldmann, H. Kohlhepp, R., Pinto, J.G, 2024: Climate change signals of extreme precipitation return levels for Germany in a transient convection-permitting simulation ensemble. International Journal of Climatology, 44(5), 1454–1471, DOI:10.1002/joc.8393
Hundhausen, M., Fowler, H.J., Feldmann, H., Pinto, J.G., 2025a: Sub-hourly precipitation and rainstorm event profiles in a convection-permitting multi-GCM ensemble, Weather and Climate Extremes, 48, 100764, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2025.100764
Kracheletz, M., Liu, Z., Springer, A., Kusche, J., Friederichs, P. (2025). Would the 2021 western Europe flood event be visible in satellite gravimetry? Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 130, e2024JD042190. https://doi.org/10.1029/2024JD042190
Macdonald, E., Merz, B., Guse, B., Nguyen, V. D., Guan, X., & Vorogushyn, S. (2024). What controls the tail behaviour of flood series: rainfall or runoff generation? Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 28(4), 833-850. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-833-2024
Macdonald, E., Merz, B., Nguyen, V. D., & Vorogushyn, S. (2025). Heavy-tailed flood peak distributions: what is the effect of the spatial variability of rainfall and runoff generation? Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 29(2), 447-463. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-447-2025
Merz, B., Nguyen, V. D., Guse, B., Han, L., Guan, X., Rakovec, O., Samaniego, L., Ahrens, B., & Vorogushyn, S. (2024). Spatial counterfactuals to explore disastrous flooding. Environmental Research Letters, 19, 044022. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad22b9
Merz, B., Nguyen, D., Guse, B., Kreibich, H., Sairam, N., Apel, H., Farrag, M., Han, L., & Vorogushyn, S. (2024). Kontinuierliche, räumlich verteilte Langzeitsimulation zur Abschätzung des Hochwasserrisikos für Deutschland. Hydrologie und Wasserbewirtschaftung, 68(4), 220-233. https://doi.org/10.5675/HyWa_2024.4_2
Müller, S. K., Pichelli, E., Coppola, E., Berthou, S., Brienen, S., Caillaud, C., Demory, M.-E., Dobler, A., Feldmann, H., Mercogliano, P., Tölle, M.H., de Vries, H., 2024: The climate change response of alpine-mediterranean heavy precipitation. Climate Dynamics, 62, 165–186, DOI:10.1007/s00382-023-06901-9
Nguyen, V. D., Aerts, J., Tesselaar, M., Botzen, W., Kreibich, H., Alfieri, L., & Merz, B. (2024). Exploring the use of seasonal forecasts to adapt flood insurance premiums. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 24(8), 2923-2937. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2923-2024
Nguyen, V. D., Vorogushyn, S., Nissen, K., Brunner, L., & Merz, B. (2024). A non-stationary climate-informed weather generator for assessing future flood risks. Advances in Statistical Climatology, Meteorology and Oceanography, 10(2), 195-216. https://doi.org/10.5194/ascmo-10-195-2024