Publikationen der Phase II
Bülow, K., Bauer, S., Steuri, B., Groth, M., Knutzen, F., & Rechid, D. (2024). Stadtwald Karlsruhe im Klimawandel - Der Wald heute und in Zukunft. Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.11473737
Caillaud, C., Somot, S., Douville, H., Alias, A., Bastin, S., Brienen, S., Demory, M.-E., Dobler, A., Feldmann, H., Frisius, T., Goergen, K., Kendon, E.J., Keuler, K., Lenderink, G., Mercogliano, P., Pichelli, E., Soares, P.M.M., Tölle, M.H., de Vries, H., 2024: Mediterranean Heavy Precipitation Events in a warmer climate: robust versus uncertain changes with a large convection-permitting model ensemble. Geophysical Research Letters, 51, e2023GL105143, DOI:10.1029/2023GL105143
Chen, T., C. Braun, A. Voigt, and J. G. Pinto, 2024: Changes of Intense Extratropical Cyclone Deepening Mechanisms in a Warmer Climate in Idealized Simulations. J. Climate, 37, 4703–4722, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0605.1
Feser, F., van Garderen, L. & Hansen, F. (2024). The summer heatwave 2022 over Western Europe: An attribution to anthropogenic climate change. Explaining Extreme Events of 2022/2023 from a Climate Perspective, Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 105(11), E2175–E2179, https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-24-0017.1
Fosser, G., Gaetani, M., Kendon, E.J, Adinolfi, M., Ban, N., Belušić, D., Caillaud, C., Careto, J.A.M., Coppola, E., Demory, M.-E., de Vries, H., Dobler, A., Feldmann, H., Goergen,K., Lenderink, G., Pichelli, E., Schär, C., Soares. P.M.M, Somot, S., Tölle, M.H. 2024: Convection-permitting climate models offer more certain extreme rainfall projections. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, doi: 10.1038/s41612-024-00600-w.
Groth, M., Bauer, S., Bülow, K., Rechid, D., Steuri, B. & Knutzen, F. (2025). Co-Creation of a Prototypical Climate Service Product to Support Climate Change Adaptation in the City Forest of Karlsruhe. Proceedings of REAL CORP 2025. 30th International Conference on Urban Planning and Regional Development in the Information Society, Graz: 1063-1068. https://archive.corp.at/cdrom2025/papers2025/CORP2025_6.pdf.
Hundhausen, M., Feldmann, H. Kohlhepp, R., Pinto, J.G, 2024: Climate change signals of extreme precipitation return levels for Germany in a transient convection-permitting simulation ensemble. International Journal of Climatology, 44(5), 1454–1471, DOI:10.1002/joc.8393
Hundhausen, M., Fowler, H.J., Feldmann, H., Pinto, J.G., 2025a: Sub-hourly precipitation and rainstorm event profiles in a convection-permitting multi-GCM ensemble, Weather and Climate Extremes, 48, 100764, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2025.100764
Knutzen, F., Averbeck, P., Barrasso, C., Bouwer, L. M., Gardiner, B., Grünzweig, J. M., Hänel, S., Haustein, K., Johannessen, M. R., Kollet, S., Müller, M. M., Pietikäinen, J.-P., Pietras-Couffignal, K., Pinto, J. G., Rechid, D., Rousi, E., Russo, A., Suarez-Gutierrez, L., Veit, S., Wendler, J., Xoplaki, E., and Gliksman, D.: Impacts on and damage to European forests from the 2018–2022 heat and drought events, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 77–117, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-77-2025, 2025.
Kracheletz, M., Liu, Z., Springer, A., Kusche, J., Friederichs, P. (2025). Would the 2021 western Europe flood event be visible in satellite gravimetry? Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 130, e2024JD042190. https://doi.org/10.1029/2024JD042190
Macdonald, E., Merz, B., Guse, B., Nguyen, V. D., Guan, X., & Vorogushyn, S. (2024). What controls the tail behaviour of flood series: rainfall or runoff generation? Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 28(4), 833-850. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-833-2024
Macdonald, E., Merz, B., Nguyen, V. D., & Vorogushyn, S. (2025). Heavy-tailed flood peak distributions: what is the effect of the spatial variability of rainfall and runoff generation? Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 29(2), 447-463. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-447-2025
Merz, B., Blöschl, G., Jüpner, R., Kreibich, H., Schröter, K., & Vorogushyn, S. (2024). Invited perspectives: safeguarding the usability and credibility of flood hazard and risk assessments. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 24(11), 4015–4030. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-4015-2024
Merz, B., Nguyen, V. D., Guse, B., Han, L., Guan, X., Rakovec, O., Samaniego, L., Ahrens, B., & Vorogushyn, S. (2024). Spatial counterfactuals to explore disastrous flooding. Environmental Research Letters, 19, 044022. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad22b9
Merz, B., Nguyen, D., Guse, B., Kreibich, H., Sairam, N., Apel, H., Farrag, M., Han, L., & Vorogushyn, S. (2024). Kontinuierliche, räumlich verteilte Langzeitsimulation zur Abschätzung des Hochwasserrisikos für Deutschland. Hydrologie und Wasserbewirtschaftung, 68(4), 220-233. https://doi.org/10.5675/HyWa_2024.4_2
Müller, S. K., Pichelli, E., Coppola, E., Berthou, S., Brienen, S., Caillaud, C., Demory, M.-E., Dobler, A., Feldmann, H., Mercogliano, P., Tölle, M.H., de Vries, H., 2024: The climate change response of alpine-mediterranean heavy precipitation. Climate Dynamics, 62, 165–186, DOI:10.1007/s00382-023-06901-9
Nguyen, V. D., Aerts, J., Tesselaar, M., Botzen, W., Kreibich, H., Alfieri, L., & Merz, B. (2024). Exploring the use of seasonal forecasts to adapt flood insurance premiums. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 24(8), 2923-2937. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2923-2024
Nguyen, V. D., Vorogushyn, S., Nissen, K., Brunner, L., & Merz, B. (2024). A non-stationary climate-informed weather generator for assessing future flood risks. Advances in Statistical Climatology, Meteorology and Oceanography, 10(2), 195-216. https://doi.org/10.5194/ascmo-10-195-2024
Xoplaki, E., Ellsäßer, F., Grieger, J., Nissen, K. M., Pinto, J. G., Augenstein, M., Chen, T.-C., Feldmann, H., Friederichs, P., Gliksman, D., Goulier, L., Haustein, K., Heinke, J., Jach, L., Knutzen, F., Kollet, S., Luterbacher, J., Luther, N., Mohr, S., Mudersbach, C., Müller, C., Rousi, E., Simon, F., Suarez-Gutierrez, L., Szemkus, S., Vallejo-Bernal, S. M., Vlachopoulos, O., and Wolf, F.: Compound events in Germany in 2018: drivers and case studies, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 541–564, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-541-2025, 2025